2022 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota

2022 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota's at-large district
	County results; Johnson: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Duprel: 50–60% 60–70%
U.S. Representative before election; Dusty Johnson; Republican	Elected U.S. Representative ; Dusty Johnson; Republican

The 2022 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the U.S. Representative from South Dakota's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Dusty Johnson was re-elected with 81.0% of the vote in 2020.^[1] Johnson defeated state representative Taffy Howard in the Republican primary. No Democratic candidate appeared on the ballot, Johnson's only general election opponent was Libertarian Collin Duprel.^[2]

Though Johnson won comfortably in a 55-point win, mainly due to competing against a candidate of a minor party, Durpel made a bit of a stronger performance than some had expected, with over 22% of the vote. Johnson himself received over 77% of the vote. It was the best performance by a Libertarian candidate in the state's history.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Dusty Johnson, incumbent U.S. Representative^[3]

Eliminated in primary

Taffy Howard, state representative from the 33rd district^[4]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Dusty Johnson	Taffy Howard	Undecided
South Dakota State University^[5]	May 2–15, 2022	– (LV)	± 3.0%	53%	17%	30%

Primary results

Republican primary results^[6]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Dusty Johnson (incumbent)	70,728	59.25%
	Republican	Taffy Howard	48,645	40.75%
Total votes			119,373	100.0%

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

Collin Duprel, cattle rancher^[7]

Democratic primary

Ryan Ryder dropped out of the race after past tweets of his were exposed, with subject matter including Ryder fantasizing about killing Johnson's family, and that he had masturbated to a photo of Governor Kristi Noem.^[2]

Candidates

Withdrew

Ryan Ryder, lawyer^[8]^[2]

Declined

Troy Heinert, Minority Leader of the South Dakota Senate^[9]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[10]	Solid R	October 5, 2021
Inside Elections^[11]	Solid R	October 11, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[12]	Safe R	October 5, 2021
Politico^[13]	Solid R	April 5, 2022
RCP^[14]	Safe R	June 9, 2022
Fox News^[15]	Solid R	July 11, 2022
DDHQ^[16]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538^[17]	Solid R	June 30, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Dusty Johnson (R)	Collin Duprel (L)	Undecided
Emerson College^[18]	October 19–21, 2022	1,500 (LV)	± 2.4%	59%	16%	25%

Results

2022 South Dakota's at-large congressional district election^[19]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Dusty Johnson (incumbent)	253,821	77.42%	−3.54%
	Libertarian	Collin Duprel	74,020	22.58%	+3.54%
Total votes			327,841	100.00%
	Republican hold

Notes

^ ^a ^b Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

References

^ "General Election - November 3, 2020" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota. November 10, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on December 18, 2020. Retrieved November 12, 2020.
^ ^a ^b ^c Larwence, Tom (March 3, 2022). "Ryan Ryder, South Dakota Democrat Who Tweeted About Masturbating to Kristi Noem, Drops Congressional Bid". www.thedailybeast.com. The Daily Beast. Retrieved March 5, 2022.
^ Lawrence, Tom (August 23, 2021). "2022 draws closer, and South Dakota Democrats still need to find and field candidates in state, national races". The South Dakota Standard. Archived from the original on August 24, 2021. Retrieved August 28, 2021.
^ Sneve, Joe. "South Dakota lawmaker kicks off primary challenge against Rep. Johnson". www.argusleader.com. Retrieved October 12, 2021.
^ South Dakota State University
^ "2022 Primary Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota. June 14, 2022. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
^ "2022 South Dakota Libertarian Party Candidates" (PDF). South Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved June 4, 2022.
^ Heemstra, Jody. "Democrat Ryan Ryder announces challenge to Republican Congressman Dusty Johnson". Retrieved March 3, 2022.
^ "South Dakota Minority Leader Heinert passes on run for Governor, joining private sector after term". December 16, 2021.
^ "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2021.
^ "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 4, 2021.
^ "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 5, 2021. Retrieved October 5, 2021.
^ "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2022.
^ "Battle for the House 2022". RCP. June 9, 2022.
^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. July 11, 2022. Retrieved July 11, 2022.
^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
^ Emerson College
^ "2022 General Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). sdsos.gov.

External links

Official campaign websites

Collin Duprel (L) for Congress Archived December 21, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
Dusty Johnson (R) for Congress

[Key-5] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[1] "General Election - November 3, 2020" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota. November 10, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on December 18, 2020. Retrieved November 12, 2020.

[:0-2] Larwence, Tom (March 3, 2022). "Ryan Ryder, South Dakota Democrat Who Tweeted About Masturbating to Kristi Noem, Drops Congressional Bid". www.thedailybeast.com. The Daily Beast. Retrieved March 5, 2022.

[draws-3] Lawrence, Tom (August 23, 2021). "2022 draws closer, and South Dakota Democrats still need to find and field candidates in state, national races". The South Dakota Standard. Archived from the original on August 24, 2021. Retrieved August 28, 2021.

[4] Sneve, Joe. "South Dakota lawmaker kicks off primary challenge against Rep. Johnson". www.argusleader.com. Retrieved October 12, 2021.

[6] South Dakota State University

[7] "2022 Primary Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota. June 14, 2022. Retrieved August 4, 2022.

[SD2022L-8] "2022 South Dakota Libertarian Party Candidates" (PDF). South Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved June 4, 2022.

[9] Heemstra, Jody. "Democrat Ryan Ryder announces challenge to Republican Congressman Dusty Johnson". Retrieved March 3, 2022.

[10] "South Dakota Minority Leader Heinert passes on run for Governor, joining private sector after term". December 16, 2021.

[Cook_PR-11] "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2021.

[IE-12] "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 4, 2021.

[Sabato's_Crystal_Ball-13] "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 5, 2021. Retrieved October 5, 2021.

[Politico-14] "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2022.

[RCP-15] "Battle for the House 2022". RCP. June 9, 2022.

[Fox_News-16] "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. July 11, 2022. Retrieved July 11, 2022.

[DDHQ-17] "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.

[FiveThirtyEight-18] "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.

[19] Emerson College

[20] "2022 General Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). sdsos.gov.

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2022 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Polling

Primary results

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Withdrew

Declined

General election

Predictions

Polling

Results

Notes

References

External links

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