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2010 Ohio gubernatorial election

See also: 2010 United States gubernatorial elections

2010 Ohio gubernatorial election
← 2006 November 2, 2010 2014 →
 
Nominee John Kasich Ted Strickland
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Mary Taylor Yvette Brown
Popular vote 1,889,186 1,812,059
Percentage 49.04% 47.04%
Kasich:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Strickland:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Governor before election

Ted Strickland
Democratic

Elected Governor

John Kasich
Republican

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The 2010 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor Ted Strickland ran for re-election to a second term as governor and was opposed by former U.S. Representative John Kasich; both Strickland and Kasich won their respective primaries uncontested. The race between the two major candidates was prolonged and brutal, with both candidates employing various campaign surrogates to bolster their campaigns. Ultimately, Kasich defeated Strickland by a 2% margin.

Strickland's defeat was widely attributed to the decline of Ohio's economy, as well as the loss of 400,000 jobs since the beginning of his term. The policies of the then-president Barack Obama proved to be a hot topic among voters, with Strickland voicing his support for the healthcare overhauls initiated by Obama's administration, contrary to Kasich, who opposed the policies.[1] As of 2023, this is the last time an incumbent governor of Ohio lost re-election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ted Strickland (incumbent) 630,785 100.00%
Total votes 630,785 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Kasich 746,719 100.00%
Total votes 746,719 100.00%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

  • Ken Matesz

Results

Libertarian Party primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Ken Matesz 4,407 100.00%
Total votes 4,407 100.00%

Green primary

Candidates

  • Dennis Spisak, former congressional candidate

Results

Green Party primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Green Dennis Spisak 924 100.00%
Total votes 924 100.00%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[6] Tossup October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[7] Tilt R (flip) October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[8] Tossup November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Lean R (flip) October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[10] Tossup October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s) administered Ted
Strickland (D) 		John
Kasich (R)
Public Policy Polling[11] October 28–30, 2010 48% 49%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[12] October 27–29, 2010 46% 49%
Survey USA[13] October 22–26, 2010 44% 49%
Quinnipiac University[14] October 18–24, 2010 43% 49%
Fox News/POR[15] October 23, 2010 43% 47%
CNN/Time Magazine[16] October 15–19, 2010 48% 46%
University of Cincinnati[17] October 14–18, 2010 47% 49%
Quinnipiac University[18] October 12–17, 2010 41% 51%
University of Cincinnati[19] October 8–13, 2010 43% 51%
Rasmussen Reports[20] October 11, 2010 45% 48%
Fox News/POR[21] October 9, 2010 42% 47%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[22] October 5–8, 2010 46% 48%
Quinnipiac University[23] September 29 – October 3, 2010 41% 50%
Fox News/POR[24] October 2, 2010 43% 49%
Rasmussen Reports[25] September 27, 2010 42% 50%
CBS/NY Times[26] September 23–27, 2010 42% 43%
Reuters/Ipsos[27] September 23–25, 2010 46% 47%
Ohio Newspapers Poll/UC[28] September 24, 2010 45% 49%
SurveyUSA[29] September 14, 2010 40% 52%
CNN/Time Magazine[30] September 10–14, 2010 44% 51%
Quinnipiac[31] September 9–14, 2010 37% 54%
Rasmussen Reports[32] September 13, 2010 43% 50%
Fox News/Pulse Research[33] September 11, 2010 43% 48%
The Columbus Dispatch[34] August 25 – September 3, 2010 37% 49%
Rasmussen Reports[35] August 30, 2010 39% 47%
Public Policy Polling[36] August 27–29, 2010 40% 50%
Rasmussen Reports[37] August 16, 2010 40% 48%
Reuters/Ipsos[38] August 6–8, 2010 39% 48%
Rasmussen Reports[39] August 2, 2010 42% 45%
Rasmussen Reports[40] July 19, 2010 43% 48%
Rasmussen Reports[41] June 29, 2010 40% 47%
Public Policy Polling[42] June 26–27, 2010 41% 43%
Quinnipiac[43] June 22–27, 2010 43% 38%
Rasmussen Reports[44] June 3, 2010 42% 47%
UC/The Ohio Poll[45] May 11–20, 2010 49% 44%
Rasmussen Reports[46] May 5, 2010 45% 46%
Quinnipiac[47] April 21–26, 2010 44% 38%
Research 2000[48] April 5–7, 2010 45% 40%
Rasmussen Reports[49] March 30, 2010 45% 46%
Quinnipiac[50] March 23–29, 2010 43% 38%
Public Policy Polling[51] March 20–21, 2010 37% 42%
Rasmussen Reports[52] March 4, 2010 38% 49%
Quinnipiac[53] February 16–21, 2010 44% 39%
Rasmussen Reports[54] February 5–6, 2010 41% 47%
The Ohio Newspaper[55] January 13–19, 2010 45% 51%
Ohio Right to Life[56] January 8–12, 2010 33% 43%
Rasmussen Reports[57] January 12, 2010 40% 47%
Rasmussen Reports[58] December 7, 2009 39% 48%
Quinnipiac[59] November 5–9, 2009 40% 40%
The Ohio Newspaper[60] October 14–20, 2009 48% 47%
Rasmussen Reports[61] September 23, 2009 45% 46%
Quinnipiac[62] September 10–13, 2009 46% 36%
Research 2000[63] July 8, 2009 44% 39%
Quinnipiac[64] June 26 – July 1, 2009 43% 38%
Public Policy Polling[65] June 17–19, 2009 44% 42%
Quinnipiac[66] April 28 – May 4, 2009 51% 32%
Quinnipiac[67] March 10–15, 2009 51% 31%
Quinnipiac[68] January 29 – February 2, 2009 56% 26%
Public Policy Polling[69] January 17–18, 2009 45% 39%

Results

When the polls closed on election night, the race was very close, with Strickland and Kasich neck and neck. As the night wore on, Kasich's lead began to pick up strength, however once Cuyahoga County came in, Kasich's lead began to erode. In the end Kasich still won, but it was one of the closest gubernatorial elections in Ohio history. Strickland conceded at around 2 A.M. EST.

2010 Ohio gubernatorial election[70]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican John Kasich 1,889,186 49.04% +12.39%
Democratic Ted Strickland (incumbent) 1,812,059 47.04% −13.50%
Libertarian Ken Matesz 92,116 2.39% +0.61%
Green Dennis Spisak 58,475 1.52% +0.50%
Write-in 633 0.02% N/A
Majority 77,127 2.00% −21.89%
Total votes 3,852,469 100.00%
Republican gain from Democratic

By county

County John Kasich
Republican 		Ted Strickland
Democratic 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Adams 4,837 57.96% 3,191 38.23% 318 3.81% 1,646 19.73% 8,346
Allen 18,982 57.57% 12,755 38.69% 1,233 3.74% 6,227 18.88% 32,970
Ashland 10,586 60.89% 5,897 33.92% 902 5.19% 4,689 26.97% 17,385
Ashtabula 12,582 42.30% 15,128 50.85% 2,038 6.85% -2,546 -8.55% 29,748
Athens 4,525 26.42% 12,073 70.48% 531 3.10% -7,548 -44.06% 17,129
Auglaize 10,873 65.79% 4,788 28.97% 866 5.24% 6,085 36.82% 16,527
Belmont 10,411 43.96% 12,467 52.64% 805 3.40% -2,056 -8.68% 23,683
Brown 7,803 58.60% 4,894 36.76% 618 4.64% 2,909 21.84% 13,315
Butler 74,942 62.69% 40,153 33.59% 4,444 3.72% 34,789 29.10% 119,539
Carroll 5,002 50.19% 4,272 42.87% 692 6.94% 730 7.32% 9,966
Champaign 7,688 56.89% 5,137 38.01% 689 5.10% 2,551 18.88% 13,514
Clark 22,135 48.14% 21,660 47.11% 2,181 4.75% 475 1.03% 45,976
Clermont 42,763 67.80% 17,490 27.73% 2,817 4.47% 25,273 40.07% 63,070
Clinton 7,621 62.86% 3,836 31.64% 666 5.50% 3,785 31.22% 12,123
Columbiana 16,021 48.39% 15,553 46.98% 1,535 4.63% 468 1.41% 33,109
Coshocton 6,234 51.22% 5,179 42.56% 757 6.22% 1,055 8.66% 12,170
Crawford 7,901 56.10% 5,334 37.87% 850 6.03% 2,567 18.23% 14,085
Cuyahoga 148,611 35.83% 251,251 60.57% 14,923 3.60% -102,640 -24.74% 414,785
Darke 11,975 63.15% 5,957 31.42% 1,030 5.43% 6,018 31.73% 18,962
Defiance 6,677 51.69% 5,561 43.05% 680 5.26% 1,116 8.64% 12,918
Delaware 45,285 65.83% 21,988 31.96% 1,519 2.21% 23,297 33.87% 68,792
Erie 13,096 45.88% 14,171 49.64% 1,280 4.48% -1,075 -3.76% 28,547
Fairfield 29,744 59.06% 18,795 37.32% 1,822 3.62% 10,949 21.74% 50,361
Fayette 4,614 59.77% 2,827 36.62% 278 3.61% 1,787 23.15% 7,719
Franklin 169,487 44.12% 203,862 53.07% 10,773 2.81% -34,375 -8.95% 384,122
Fulton 7,798 53.41% 6,131 42.00% 670 4.59% 1,667 11.41% 14,599
Gallia 4,809 50.13% 4,553 47.46% 231 2.41% 256 2.67% 9,593
Geauga 22,312 60.30% 13,148 35.54% 1,540 4.16% 9,164 24.76% 37,000
Greene 34,564 59.16% 21,561 36.90% 2,303 3.94% 13,003 22.26% 58,428
Guernsey 5,900 48.56% 5,594 46.04% 656 5.40% 306 2.52% 12,150
Hamilton 143,222 50.42% 132,087 46.50% 8,745 3.08% 11,135 3.92% 284,054
Hancock 15,063 61.30% 8,450 34.39% 1,061 4.31% 6,613 26.91% 24,574
Hardin 4,904 54.62% 3,502 39.00% 573 6.38% 1,402 15.62% 8,979
Harrison 2,548 44.92% 2,840 50.07% 284 5.01% -292 -5.15% 5,672
Henry 5,529 55.61% 3,922 39.45% 491 4.94% 1,607 16.16% 9,942
Highland 7,455 60.65% 4,215 34.29% 621 5.06% 3,240 26.36% 12,291
Hocking 4,184 46.27% 4,441 49.11% 418 4.62% -257 -2.84% 9,043
Holmes 5,967 68.98% 2,212 25.57% 471 5.45% 3,755 43.41% 8,650
Huron 9,051 54.62% 6,547 39.51% 974 5.87% 2,504 15.11% 16,572
Jackson 4,592 45.34% 5,227 51.60% 310 3.06% -635 -6.26% 10,129
Jefferson 10,957 44.30% 12,819 51.83% 957 3.87% -1,862 -7.53% 24,733
Knox 12,371 60.42% 7,044 34.40% 1,060 5.18% 5,327 26.02% 20,475
Lake 41,467 52.35% 34,157 43.12% 3,581 4.53% 7,310 9.23% 79,205
Lawrence 8,374 47.20% 8,956 50.48% 410 2.32% -582 -3.28% 17,740
Licking 35,073 58.98% 21,892 36.81% 2,505 4.21% 13,181 22.17% 59,470
Logan 9,292 63.96% 4,420 30.42% 816 5.62% 4,872 33.54% 14,528
Lorain 43,994 44.24% 50,714 51.00% 4,725 4.76% -6,720 -6.76% 99,433
Lucas 52,070 35.98% 88,210 60.95% 4,456 3.07% -36,140 -24.97% 144,736
Madison 7,623 60.16% 4,545 35.87% 504 3.97% 3,078 24.29% 12,672
Mahoning 26,566 31.07% 56,228 65.76% 2,712 3.17% -29,662 -34.69% 85,506
Marion 10,535 52.47% 8,517 42.42% 1,025 5.11% 2,018 10.05% 20,077
Medina 36,407 57.77% 23,761 37.71% 2,848 4.52% 12,646 20.06% 63,016
Meigs 3,322 47.78% 3,430 49.34% 200 2.88% -108 -1.56% 6,952
Mercer 10,852 68.00% 4,396 27.55% 710 4.45% 6,456 40.45% 15,958
Miami 23,543 63.39% 11,729 31.58% 1,865 5.03% 11,814 31.81% 37,137
Monroe 2,102 39.55% 3,063 57.63% 150 2.82% -961 -18.08% 5,315
Montgomery 89,218 48.21% 89,379 48.30% 6,459 3.49% -161 -0.09% 185,056
Morgan 2,371 49.25% 2,244 46.61% 199 4.14% 127 2.64% 4,814
Morrow 7,078 60.25% 3,989 33.95% 681 5.80% 3,089 26.30% 11,748
Muskingum 13,506 51.78% 11,202 42.95% 1,374 5.27% 2,304 8.83% 26,082
Noble 2,351 44.86% 2,609 49.78% 281 5.36% -258 -4.92% 5,241
Ottawa 7,350 46.26% 7,945 50.00% 595 3.74% -595 -3.74% 15,890
Paulding 3,695 53.73% 2,795 40.64% 387 5.63% 900 13.09% 6,877
Perry 4,913 48.41% 4,741 46.71% 495 4.88% 172 1.70% 10,149
Pickaway 9,789 57.42% 6,639 38.94% 621 3.64% 3,150 18.48% 17,049
Pike 3,549 40.44% 4,940 56.30% 286 3.26% -1,391 -15.86% 8,775
Portage 24,341 48.78% 23,161 46.42% 2,395 4.80% 1,180 2.36% 49,897
Preble 8,817 58.91% 5,217 34.86% 933 6.23% 3,600 24.05% 14,967
Putnam 8,210 62.07% 4,446 33.62% 570 4.31% 3,764 28.45% 13,226
Richland 22,691 55.00% 16,470 39.92% 2,096 5.08% 6,221 15.08% 41,257
Ross 10,246 46.48% 10,949 49.67% 849 3.85% -703 -3.19% 22,044
Sandusky 9,326 47.39% 9,261 47.06% 1,091 5.55% 65 0.33% 19,678
Scioto 8,998 37.93% 14,244 60.04% 481 2.03% -5,246 -22.11% 23,723
Seneca 8,716 49.35% 7,790 44.11% 1,155 6.54% 926 5.24% 17,661
Shelby 11,402 64.06% 5,355 30.09% 1,041 5.85% 6,047 33.97% 17,798
Stark 63,779 49.72% 58,492 45.60% 5,996 4.68% 5,287 4.12% 128,267
Summit 79,963 44.40% 93,740 52.05% 6,406 3.55% -13,777 -7.65% 180,109
Trumbull 24,811 33.97% 44,935 61.52% 3,297 4.51% -20,124 -27.55% 73,043
Tuscarawas 14,214 48.94% 13,182 45.39% 1,647 5.67% 1,032 3.55% 29,043
Union 11,739 66.30% 5,304 29.95% 664 3.75% 6,435 36.35% 17,707
Van Wert 6,396 64.63% 3,014 30.45% 487 4.92% 3,382 34.18% 9,897
Vinton 1,764 41.06% 2,351 54.73% 181 4.21% -587 -13.67% 4,296
Warren 54,536 68.37% 22,271 27.92% 2,955 3.71% 32,265 40.45% 79,762
Washington 10,230 48.20% 10,408 49.04% 585 2.76% -178 -0.84% 21,223
Wayne 21,243 58.12% 13,490 36.91% 1,818 4.97% 7,753 21.21% 36,551
Williams 6,610 54.23% 4,931 40.46% 647 5.31% 1,679 13.77% 12,188
Wood 20,390 46.61% 21,369 48.85% 1,987 4.54% -979 -2.24% 43,746
Wyandot 4,103 56.87% 2,666 36.95% 446 6.18% 1,437 19.92% 7,215
Totals 1,889,186 49.04% 1,812,059 47.04% 151,224 3.92% 77,127 2.00% 3,852,469
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

  1. ^ "Ohio - Election Results 2010 - The New York Times". www.nytimes.com. Retrieved May 21, 2020.
  2. ^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Democratic: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
  3. ^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Republican: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
  4. ^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Libertarian: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
  5. ^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Green: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
  6. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  7. ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  8. ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  9. ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  10. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  11. ^ Public Policy Polling
  12. ^ Angus Reid Public Opinion[usurped]
  13. ^ Survey USA
  14. ^ Quinnipiac University
  15. ^ Fox News/POR
  16. ^ CNN/Time Magazine
  17. ^ University of Cincinnati
  18. ^ Quinnipiac University
  19. ^ University of Cincinnati
  20. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  21. ^ Fox News/POR
  22. ^ Angus Reid Public Opinion[usurped]
  23. ^ Quinnipiac University
  24. ^ Fox News/POR
  25. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  26. ^ CBS/NY Times
  27. ^ Reuters/Ipsos
  28. ^ Ohio Newspapers Poll/UC
  29. ^ SurveyUSA
  30. ^ CNN/Time Magazine
  31. ^ Quinnipiac
  32. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  33. ^ Fox News/Pulse Research
  34. ^ The Columbus Dispatch
  35. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  36. ^ Public Policy Polling
  37. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  38. ^ Reuters/Ipsos
  39. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  40. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  41. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  42. ^ Public Policy Polling
  43. ^ Quinnipiac
  44. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  45. ^ UC/The Ohio Poll
  46. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  47. ^ Quinnipiac
  48. ^ Research 2000
  49. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  50. ^ Quinnipiac
  51. ^ Public Policy Polling
  52. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  53. ^ Quinnipiac
  54. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  55. ^ The Ohio Newspaper
  56. ^ Ohio Right to Life [permanent dead link‍]
  57. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  58. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  59. ^ Quinnipiac
  60. ^ The Ohio Newspaper
  61. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  62. ^ Quinnipiac
  63. ^ Research 2000
  64. ^ Quinnipiac
  65. ^ Public Policy Polling
  66. ^ Quinnipiac
  67. ^ Quinnipiac
  68. ^ Quinnipiac
  69. ^ Public Policy Polling
  70. ^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor: November 2, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us. Archived from the original on July 2, 2017. Retrieved December 31, 2012.

Debates

Official campaign websites (Archived)

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