2020 United States presidential election in Ohio
2020 United States presidential election in Ohio Turnout 74% [ 1]
County results Congressional district results State Senate District results Township results Precinct results
Trump
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
90–100%
Biden
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
90–100%
Tie/No Data
The 2020 United States presidential election in Ohio was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[ 2] Ohio voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate, California Senator Kamala Harris against the Republican Party 's nominee—incumbent President Donald Trump and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence . Ohio had 18 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[ 3]
Despite polling showing a very narrow Trump lead, Trump won Ohio with 53.27% of the vote, defeating Biden who received 45.24% of the vote, a margin of 8.03%. Trump won by nearly the same margin that he defeated Hillary Clinton by in 2016 . This marked the first time since 1960 that Ohio voted for the losing candidate, breaking a streak of the state voting for 14 consecutive winning candidates that began in 1964 . This is the second consecutive election in which the state voted over 10 points to the right of the nation as a whole, evidencing the state's trend towards the Republican Party. With Trump's win in Ohio in 2024, this is the only election between the years of 1964 and 2024 in which Ohio voted for the losing candidate.
Biden became the first Democrat since FDR in 1932 [ 4] Mahoning and Trumbull , the first Democrat since Harry Truman in 1948 to win the White House without carrying Lorain County , the first Democrat since JFK in 1960 to win the White House without Ashtabula , Ottawa , or Portage Counties, and the first since Jimmy Carter in 1976 to win without Erie , Stark , or Wood Counties. Furthermore, this is the first time since 1976 that Ohio voted to the right of Texas - a state that last voted Democratic that year. Additionally, this is the first time since 1892 that an incumbent president carried the state while losing reelection nationally. Trump won 81 of Ohio's 88 counties compared to 80 in 2016, the most since Ronald Reagan won 82 in 1984.
Primary elections
The primary elections were originally scheduled for March 17, 2020. However, on March 16, Governor Mike DeWine recommended moving the primaries to June amid concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic . As the governor does not have the power to unilaterally make this decision, he went to court to request the delay.[ 5] [ 6] [ 7] Ohio Supreme Court allowed the primaries to be postponed to June 2.[ 8] [ 9]
Republican primary
Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus received all of Ohio's 82 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention .[ 10]
2020 Ohio Republican primary[ 11]
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates
Donald Trump 713,546
100.00
82
Total
713,546
100%
82
Democratic primary
2020 Ohio Democratic presidential primary[ 12]
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates[ 13]
Joe Biden 647,284
72.37
115
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
149,683
16.74
21
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)
30,985
3.46
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)
28,704
3.21
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)
15,113
1.69
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)
11,899
1.33
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)
4,560
0.51
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)
2,801
0.31
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)
2,030
0.23
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)
822
0.09
Andrew Yang (write-in; withdrawn)
502
0.06
Total
894,383
100%
136
General election
Final predictions
Polling
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
June 1, 2020 – October 31, 2020
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[ b]
Marginof error
Donald Republican Joe Democratic Jo Libertarian Howie Green Other
Undecided
SurveyMonkey /Axios [ 31] Oct 20 – Nov 2
6,025 (LV)
± 2%
51% [ c] 47%
–
–
–
–
Pulse Opinion Research /Rasmussen Reports [ 32] Oct 31 – Nov 1
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
49%
45%
–
–
3%[ d]
–
Research Co. [ 33] Oct 31 – Nov 1
450 (LV)
± 4.6%
47%
47%
–
–
2%[ e]
4%
Swayable [ 34] Oct 27 – Nov 1
516 (LV)
± 5.8%
52%
47%
1%
0%
–
–
Civiqs /Daily Kos [ 35] Oct 29 – Nov 1
1,136 (LV)
± 3%
49%
48%
–
–
1%[ f]
1%
Quinnipiac University [ 36] Oct 28 – Nov 1
1,440 (LV)
± 2.6%
43%
47%
–
–
2%[ e]
8%
Survey Monkey /Tableau [ 31] Oct 20 – Nov 1
5,305 (LV)
± 2.0%
50%
47%
–
–
–
Trafalgar Group [ 37] Oct 30–31
1,041 (LV)
± 2.96%
49%
44%
–
–
–
–
Emerson College [ 38] Oct 29–31
656 (LV)
± 3.8%
49%[ g]
50%
–
–
2%[ e]
–
Morning Consult [ 39] Oct 22–31
2,179 (LV)
± 2%
49%
47%
–
–
–
–
AtlasIntel [ 40] Oct 29–30
660 (LV)
± 4%
50%
47%
–
–
3%
–
Gravis Marketing [ 41] Oct 27–28
613 (LV)
± 4%
49%
47%
–
–
–
4%
SurveyMonkey /Axios [ 31] Oct 1–28, 2020
8,089 (LV)
–
51%
47%
–
–
–
–
Quinnipiac University [ 42] Oct 23–27
1,186 (LV)
± 2.9%
43%
48%
–
–
1%[ f]
8%
Swayable [ 43] Oct 23–26
440 (LV)
± 6.3%
55%
44%
1%
0%
–
–
Wick Surveys [ 44] Oct 24–25
1,000 (LV)
± 3.1%
49%
47%
–
–
–
–
Citizen Data [ 45] Oct 17–20
1,000 (LV)
± 3%
44%
43%
2%
1%
2%
8%
Fox News [ 46] Oct 17–20
1,018 (LV)
± 3%
48%
45%
3%
1%
1%[ h]
3%
Morning Consult [ 39] Oct 11–20
2,271 (LV)
± 2.1%
49%
47%
–
–
–
–
Pulse Opinion Research /Rasmussen Reports [ 47] Oct 18–19
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
47%
48%
–
–
2%[ i]
4%
Quinnipiac University [ 48] Oct 8–12
1,160 (LV)
± 2.9%
47%
48%
–
–
2%[ e]
4%
Civiqs /Rust Belt Rising [ 49] [ A] Oct 8–11
586 (LV)
± 4.2%
50%
47%
–
–
2%[ e]
1%
Morning Consult [ 39] Oct 2–11
2,283 (LV)
± 2.1%
49%
46%
–
–
–
–
Baldwin Wallace University [ 50] Sep 30 – Oct 8
1,009 (LV)
± 3.1%
47%
45%
1%
0%
1%[ j]
5%
Siena College /NYT Upshot [ 51] Oct 2–6
661 (LV)
± 4.3%
44%
45%
2%
1%
0%[ k]
7%[ l]
Trafalgar Group [ 52] Oct 1–3
1,035 (LV)
± 2.97%
48%
44%
3%
1%
1%[ f]
4%
YouGov /CBS [ 53] Sep 30 – Oct 2
1,114 (LV)
± 3.7%
47%
47%
–
–
1%[ m]
5%
OnMessage Inc. /American Action Forum [ 54] [ B] Sep 28 – Oct 1
800 (LV)
± 3.46%
48%
47%
2%
1%
0%[ n]
3%
SurveyMonkey /Axios [ 31] Sep 1–30
4,012 (LV)
–
51%
47%
–
–
–
2%
Hart Research Associates /Human Rights Campaign [ 55] [ C] Sep 24–27
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
49%
47%
–
–
–
–
Fox News [ 56] Sep 20–23
830 (LV)
± 3%
45%
50%
1%
1%
0%[ o]
2%
907 (RV)
± 3%
44%
49%
1%
2%
2%[ p]
3%
Quinnipiac University [ 57] Sep 17–21
1,078 (LV)
± 3%
47%
48%
–
–
2%
4%
Baldwin Wallace University [ 58] Sep 9–22
1,011 (LV)
± 3.3%
44%
45%
2%
0%
1%[ j]
7%
Civiqs /Rust Belt Rising [ 59] [ A] Sep 11–15
556 (RV)
± 4.3%
48% [ q] 45%
–
–
5%[ r]
1%
Morning Consult [ 60] Aug 29 – Sep 7
1,963 (LV)
± (2%–4%)
50% [ s] 45%
–
–
–
–
OnMessage Inc. /American Action Forum [ 61] [ B] Aug 31 – Sep 3
800 (LV)
± 3.46%
51%
45%
–
–
2%[ p]
3%
Pulse Opinion Research /Rasmussen Reports [ 62] [1]
Sep 1–2
1,000 (LV)
± 3%
47%[ g]
51%
–
–
3%[ d]
–
ALG Research /Progressive Policy Institute [ 63] [ D] Aug 26 – Sep 1
500 (LV)
–
46%
48%
–
–
–
–
SurveyMonkey /Axios [ 31] Aug 1–31
3,220 (LV)
–
51%
48%
–
–
–
2%
Morning Consult [ 64] Aug 21–30
1,811 (LV)
± (2%–4%)
50%
45%
–
–
–
–
Civiqs /Rust Belt Rising [ 65] [ A] Aug 13–17
631 (RV)
–
47%
47%
–
–
4%[ t]
2%
Morning Consult [ 64] Aug 7–16
1,744 (LV)
± (2%–4%)
49%
45%
–
–
–
–
TargetSmart /Progress Ohio [ 66] [ E] Jul 28 – Aug 3
1,249 (LV)
± 3.6%
46%
47%
–
–
8%[ u]
–
SurveyMonkey /Axios [ 31] Jul 1–31
3,694 (LV)
–
52%
46%
–
–
–
2%
Morning Consult [ 67] Jul 17–26
1,741 (LV)
± 2.3%
48%
45%
–
–
–
–
YouGov /CBS [ 68] Jul 21–24
1,211 (LV)
± 3.6%
46%
45%
–
–
2%[ v]
7%
Zogby Analytics [ 69] Jul 21–23
805 (RV)
± 3.5%
41%
43%
4%
1%
–
11%
Pulse Opinion Research /Rasmussen Reports /AGPAC [ 70] [ F] Jul 15–16
750 (LV)
± 4%
46%
50%
–
–
2%[ i]
2%
University of Akron [ 71] Jun 24 – Jul 15
1,037 (RV)
± 3.0%
42%
46%
–
–
6%[ w]
6%
SurveyMonkey /Axios [ 31] Jun 8–30
1,610 (LV)
–
50%
49%
–
–
–
1%
Quinnipiac [ 72] Jun 18–22
1,139 (RV)
± 2.9%
45%
46%
–
–
4%[ x]
5%
Fox News [ 73] May 30 – Jun 2
803 (RV)
± 3.5%
43%
45%
–
–
6%[ y]
6%
January 1, 2020 – May 31, 2020
January 1, 2018 – December 31, 2019
Former candidates
Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[ b]
Marginof error
Donald
Cory
Undecided
Quinnipiac University [ 82] Jul 17–22, 2019
1,431 (RV)
± 3.2%
44%
43%
–
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[ b]
Marginof error
Donald
Bernie
Other
Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes [ 76] Mar 17–25, 2020
1,025 (RV)
± 3.3%
47%
41%
–
12%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 78] Mar 10–13, 2020
1,710 (RV)
± 2.9%
46%
48%
1%
5%
Public Policy Polling [ 79] Oct 10–11, 2019
776 (V)
± 3.5%
47%
47%
–
7%
Climate Nexus [ 80] [ aa] Oct 1–7, 2019
1112 (LV)
± 2.9%
48%
52%
–
–
45%
47%
–
8%
Emerson College [ 81] Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019
837 (RV)
± 3.2%
47%
53%
–
–
Quinnipiac University [ 82] Jul 17–22, 2019
1,431 (RV)
± 3.2%
46%
45%
–
–
Public Policy Polling [ 83] Nov 27–28, 2018
648 (V)
± 3.9%
46%
47%
–
7%
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
Hypothetical polling
with Donald Trump and Sherrod Brown
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[ b]
Marginof error
Donald
Sherrod
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [ 83] Nov 27–28, 2018
648 (V)
± 3.9%
42%
48%
10%
with Mike Pence and Joe Biden
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[ b]
Marginof error
Mike
Joe
Emerson College [ 84] Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019
837 (RV)
± 3.2%
46%
54%
with Mike Pence and Bernie Sanders
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[ b]
Marginof error
Mike
Bernie
Emerson College [ 81] Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019
837 (RV)
± 3.2%
49%
51%
with Mike Pence and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[ b]
Marginof error
Mike
Elizabeth
Emerson College [ 81] Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019
837 (RV)
± 3.2%
49%
51%
with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat
with John Kasich and Generic Democrat
Results
By county
County[ 92]
Donald Trump
Joe Biden
Jo Jorgensen
Howie Hawkins
Various candidates
Margin
Total votes cast
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Adams
9,870
81.27%
2,156
17.75%
92
0.76%
27
0.22%
0
0.00%
7,714
63.52%
12,145
Allen
33,116
68.85%
14,149
29.42%
590
1.23%
138
0.29%
106
0.22%
18,967
39.43%
48,099
Ashland
19,407
73.50%
6,541
24.77%
345
1.31%
105
0.40%
7
0.03%
12,866
48.73%
26,405
Ashtabula
26,890
60.79%
16,497
37.29%
559
1.26%
196
0.44%
95
0.21%
10,393
23.50%
44,237
Athens
10,862
41.58%
14,772
56.55%
299
1.14%
115
0.44%
72
0.28%
−3,910
−14.97%
26,120
Auglaize
20,798
80.54%
4,651
18.01%
260
1.01%
0
0.00%
113
0.44%
16,147
62.53%
25,822
Belmont
23,560
71.09%
9,138
27.57%
285
0.86%
98
0.30%
60
0.18%
14,422
43.52%
33,141
Brown
16,480
77.96%
4,380
20.72%
182
0.86%
54
0.26%
43
0.20%
12,100
57.24%
21,139
Butler
114,392
61.26%
69,613
37.28%
2,177
1.17%
493
0.26%
62
0.03%
44,779
23.98%
186,737
Carroll
10,745
75.49%
3,251
22.84%
156
1.10%
56
0.39%
25
0.18%
7,494
52.65%
14,233
Champaign
14,589
72.93%
5,062
25.31%
260
1.30%
55
0.27%
37
0.18%
9,527
47.62%
20,003
Clark
39,032
60.65%
24,076
37.41%
829
1.29%
245
0.38%
169
0.26%
14,956
23.24%
64,351
Clermont
74,570
67.36%
34,092
30.79%
1,513
1.37%
0
0.00%
535
0.48%
40,478
36.57%
110,710
Clinton
15,488
75.32%
4,697
22.84%
270
1.31%
67
0.33%
41
0.20%
10,791
52.48%
20,563
Columbiana
35,726
71.51%
13,359
26.74%
607
1.21%
162
0.32%
106
0.21%
22,367
44.77%
49,960
Coshocton
12,325
73.50%
4,125
24.60%
227
1.35%
62
0.37%
29
0.17%
8,200
48.90%
16,768
Crawford
15,436
74.52%
4,916
23.73%
278
1.34%
53
0.26%
30
0.14%
10,520
50.79%
20,713
Cuyahoga
202,699
32.32%
416,176
66.36%
4,593
0.73%
2,031
0.32%
1,661
0.26%
−213,477
−34.04%
627,160
Darke
22,004
81.01%
4,731
17.42%
331
1.22%
0
0.00%
95
0.35%
17,273
63.59%
27,161
Defiance
13,038
67.27%
5,981
30.86%
272
1.40%
78
0.40%
12
0.06%
7,057
36.41%
19,381
Delaware
66,356
52.51%
57,735
45.69%
1,630
1.29%
0
0.00%
653
0.52%
8,621
6.82%
126,374
Erie
22,160
54.83%
17,493
43.28%
522
1.29%
153
0.38%
88
0.22%
4,667
11.55%
40,416
Fairfield
50,797
60.97%
31,224
37.48%
1,033
1.24%
223
0.27%
34
0.04%
19,573
23.49%
83,311
Fayette
9,473
75.03%
2,975
23.56%
132
1.05%
32
0.25%
14
0.11%
6,498
51.47%
12,626
Franklin
211,237
33.40%
409,144
64.68%
7,718
1.22%
2,169
0.34%
2,264
0.26%
−197,907
−31.28%
632,532
Fulton
15,731
68.98%
6,664
29.22%
299
1.31%
71
0.31%
41
0.18%
9,067
39.76%
22,806
Gallia
10,645
77.14%
2,990
21.67%
132
0.96%
32
0.23%
0
0.00%
7,655
55.47%
13,799
Geauga
34,143
60.95%
21,201
37.84%
534
0.95%
0
0.00%
143
0.26%
12,942
23.11%
56,021
Greene
52,072
58.74%
34,798
39.26%
1,458
1.64%
264
0.30%
51
0.06%
17,274
19.48%
88,643
Guernsey
13,407
73.41%
4,577
25.06%
177
0.97%
67
0.37%
36
0.20%
8,830
48.35%
18,264
Hamilton
177,886
41.28%
246,266
57.15%
5,211
1.21%
1,389
0.32%
177
0.04%
−68,380
−15.87%
430,929
Hancock
26,310
67.86%
11,757
30.32%
580
1.50%
110
0.28%
14
0.04%
14,553
37.54%
38,771
Hardin
9,949
75.10%
3,062
23.11%
192
1.45%
44
0.33%
0
0.00%
6,887
51.99%
13,247
Harrison
5,792
75.58%
1,768
23.07%
59
0.77%
36
0.47%
8
0.10%
4,024
52.51%
7,663
Henry
10,479
70.86%
4,062
27.47%
175
1.18%
44
0.30%
28
0.19%
6,417
43.39%
14,788
Highland
15,678
79.68%
3,799
19.31%
146
0.74%
0
0.00%
53
0.27%
11,879
60.37%
19,676
Hocking
9,737
70.28%
3,880
28.00%
162
1.17%
40
0.29%
36
0.26%
5,857
42.28%
13,855
Holmes
10,796
83.19%
1,994
15.36%
125
0.96%
0
0.00%
63
0.49%
8,802
67.83%
12,978
Huron
18,956
69.72%
7,759
28.54%
387
1.42%
83
0.31%
53
0.02%
11,197
41.18%
27,190
Jackson
11,309
76.36%
3,311
22.36%
144
0.97%
0
0.00%
46
0.31%
7,998
54.00%
14,810
Jefferson
22,828
68.30%
10,018
29.98%
357
1.07%
100
0.30%
118
0.35%
12,810
38.32%
33,421
Knox
22,340
71.01%
8,589
27.30%
374
1.19%
86
0.27%
70
0.22%
13,751
43.71%
31,459
Lake
73,278
56.03%
55,514
42.45%
1,284
0.98%
408
0.31%
298
0.23%
17,764
13.58%
130,782
Lawrence
20,306
72.06%
7,489
26.58%
259
0.92%
0
0.00%
125
0.44%
12,817
45.48%
28,179
Licking
59,514
63.05%
33,055
35.02%
1,279
1.35%
312
0.33%
236
0.25%
26,459
28.03%
94,396
Logan
17,964
76.74%
5,055
21.59%
272
1.16%
69
0.29%
49
0.21%
12,909
55.15%
23,409
Lorain
79,520
50.40%
75,667
47.96%
1,677
1.06%
534
0.34%
370
0.23%
3,853
2.44%
157,768
Lucas
81,763
40.66%
115,411
57.39%
2,605
1.30%
780
0.39%
548
0.27%
−33,648
−16.73%
201,107
Madison
13,835
69.57%
5,698
28.65%
269
1.35%
0
0.00%
85
0.43%
8,137
40.92%
19,887
Mahoning
59,903
50.26%
57,641
48.36%
966
0.81%
436
0.37%
244
0.20%
2,262
1.90%
119,190
Marion
19,023
68.25%
8,269
29.67%
414
1.49%
112
0.40%
53
0.19%
10,754
38.58%
27,871
Medina
64,598
60.92%
39,800
37.53%
1,144
1.08%
266
0.25%
233
0.22%
24,798
23.39%
106,041
Meigs
8,316
75.83%
2,492
22.72%
111
1.01%
32
0.29%
16
0.15%
5,824
53.11%
10,967
Mercer
19,452
81.79%
4,030
16.94%
204
0.86%
67
0.28%
31
0.13%
15,422
64.85%
23,784
Miami
41,371
71.23%
15,663
26.97%
782
1.35%
0
0.00%
261
0.45%
25,708
44.26%
58,077
Monroe
5,463
76.31%
1,605
22.42%
54
0.75%
26
0.36%
11
0.15%
3,858
53.89%
7,159
Montgomery
129,034
47.94%
135,064
50.18%
3,418
1.27%
884
0.33%
764
0.28%
−6,030
−2.24%
269,164
Morgan
5,041
73.53%
1,725
25.16%
64
0.93%
0
0.00%
26
0.38%
3,316
48.37%
6,856
Morrow
14,077
76.22%
4,048
21.92%
257
1.39%
70
0.38%
16
0.09%
10,029
54.30%
18,468
Muskingum
27,867
68.86%
11,971
29.58%
459
1.13%
163
0.40%
7
0.02%
15,896
39.28%
40,467
Noble
5,135
80.89%
1,170
18.43%
25
0.39%
0
0.00%
18
0.28%
3,965
62.46%
6,348
Ottawa
14,628
60.83%
9,008
37.46%
292
1.21%
74
0.31%
44
0.18%
5,628
23.37%
24,046
Paulding
7,086
74.72%
2,213
23.33%
124
1.31%
38
0.40%
23
0.24%
4,873
51.39%
9,484
Perry
12,357
74.10%
4,098
24.57%
170
1.02%
47
0.28%
4
0.02%
8,259
49.53%
16,676
Pickaway
20,593
72.73%
7,304
25.80%
295
1.04%
0
0.00%
122
0.43%
13,289
46.93%
28,314
Pike
9,157
73.70%
3,110
25.03%
123
0.99%
0
0.00%
34
0.27%
6,047
48.67%
12,424
Portage
45,990
55.39%
35,661
42.95%
906
1.09%
295
0.36%
170
0.20%
10,329
12.44%
83,022
Preble
17,022
77.94%
4,493
20.57%
243
1.11%
0
0.00%
82
0.38%
12,529
57.37%
21,840
Putnam
16,412
82.28%
3,195
16.02%
247
1.24%
61
0.31%
32
0.16%
13,217
66.26%
19,947
Richland
41,472
69.15%
17,640
29.41%
680
1.13%
168
0.28%
15
0.03%
23,832
39.74%
59,975
Ross
22,278
66.77%
10,557
31.64%
345
1.03%
116
0.35%
69
0.21%
11,721
35.13%
33,365
Sandusky
18,896
62.72%
10,596
35.17%
448
1.49%
132
0.44%
56
0.19%
8,300
27.55%
30,128
Scioto
22,609
70.54%
9,080
28.33%
262
0.82%
91
0.28%
9
0.03%
13,529
42.21%
32,051
Seneca
17,086
66.10%
8,266
31.98%
357
1.38%
94
0.36%
45
0.17%
8,820
34.12%
25,848
Shelby
20,422
80.74%
4,465
17.65%
290
1.15%
71
0.28%
45
0.18%
15,957
63.09%
25,293
Stark
111,097
58.44%
75,904
39.93%
2,163
1.14%
683
0.36%
246
0.13%
35,193
18.51%
190,093
Summit
124,833
44.38%
151,668
53.92%
3,003
1.07%
888
0.32%
888
0.26%
−26,835
−9.54%
281,280
Trumbull
55,194
54.57%
44,519
44.01%
913
0.90%
356
0.35%
170
0.17%
10,675
10.56%
101,152
Tuscarawas
30,458
69.09%
12,889
29.24%
494
1.12%
161
0.37%
85
0.19%
17,569
39.85%
44,087
Union
21,669
64.62%
11,141
33.22%
535
1.60%
100
0.30%
90
0.27%
10,528
31.40%
33,535
Van Wert
11,650
77.70%
3,067
20.45%
201
1.34%
42
0.28%
34
0.23%
8,583
57.25%
14,994
Vinton
4,632
76.71%
1,331
22.04%
47
0.78%
17
0.28%
11
0.18%
3,301
54.67%
6,038
Warren
87,988
64.49%
46,069
33.76%
1,747
1.28%
0
0.00%
637
0.47%
41,919
30.73%
136,441
Washington
22,307
69.53%
9,243
28.81%
372
1.16%
109
0.34%
50
0.16%
13,064
40.72%
32,081
Wayne
36,759
67.72%
16,660
30.69%
665
1.23%
173
0.32%
26
0.05%
20,099
37.03%
54,283
Williams
13,452
72.12%
4,842
25.96%
285
1.53%
70
0.38%
2
0.01%
8,610
46.16%
18,651
Wood
35,757
52.89%
30,617
45.29%
992
1.47%
211
0.31%
23
0.03%
5,140
7.60%
67,600
Wyandot
8,462
74.21%
2,733
23.97%
155
1.36%
38
0.33%
15
0.13%
5,729
50.24%
11,403
Totals
3,154,834
53.18%
2,679,165
45.16%
67,569
1.14%
18,812
0.32%
12,018
0.20%
475,669
8.03%
5,932,398
Swing by county
Democratic — +7.5-10%
Democratic — +5-7.5%
Democratic — +2.5-5%
Democratic — +0-2.5%
Republican — +0-2.5%
Republican — +2.5-5%
Republican — +5-7.5%
Republican — +7.5-10%
Republican — +10-12.5%
Trend by county
County flips
Democratic
Hold
Gain from Republican
Republican
Hold
Gain from Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
By congressional district
Trump won 12 out of the 16 congressional districts in Ohio.
Analysis
Ohio was considered one of the most competitive states in the Midwest in the early 21st century. For example, it was a vital tipping-point state in the heavily contested 2004 election , and its projection in 2012 put Barack Obama over the top in the Electoral College. After Trump won Ohio in 2016 by an unexpectedly large margin of 8 points, it was initially considered out of reach for Democrats. However, Democrats contested it after polling pointed to a possibly close result in 2020.
From 1964 through 2016, Ohio had been a reliable bellwether , voting for the winner of every presidential election. In 2016, however, it voted over ten points to the right of the nation as a whole, indicating that it might be on the cusp of losing its bellwether status.[ 94] Richard Nixon in 1960 , and in doing so, it voted over ten points to the right of the nation overall for the second time in a row, giving Trump a comfortable eight-point margin even as he lost nationally. This indicated that Ohio is likely following a similar path to that of Missouri , another former bellwether state in the Midwest that has more recently become reliably red. (Missouri voted for the winning candidate in every election from 1904 to 2004 except for 1956 . In 2008 , Missouri narrowly backed Republican John McCain despite the fact that he lost the election by a wide margin nationally, and in every election since it has voted Republican by a comfortable margin.) In this election, Ohio weighed in at 12.5% more Republican than the nation as a whole, even voting more Republican than Texas , a Southern state that has been a GOP stronghold for four decades.
While Biden outperformed Hillary Clinton in the Midwest at large, Trump managed to flip two Ohio counties Republican: Lorain , a suburban county of Cleveland , and Mahoning , anchored by the car-making town of Youngstown . Trump became the first Republican presidential candidate to win Lorain County since Ronald Reagan in 1984 , and the first to win Mahoning County since Richard Nixon in 1972 . Biden became the first Democrat since FDR in 1932 [ 4] Harry Truman in 1948 to win the White House without carrying Lorain County. On the other hand, Biden flipped back Montgomery County , home to Dayton , into the Democratic column, a county which Trump had flipped in 2016. He also came within 7 points of flipping suburban Delaware County in the Columbus area, the closest a Democrat has come to flipping it since 1964 .
Biden's results were an all time-best for Democrats in two counties - Franklin , home to the state capital of Columbus , where he received 64.68% of the vote and beat Trump by 31 points, and Hamilton , home to Cincinnati , where he received 57.15% of the vote and beat Trump by 16 points—even greater than Franklin D. Roosevelt 's and Lyndon B. Johnson 's landslides. Biden's Delaware County result of 45.69% was a 56-year best, and in Warren County of suburban Cincinnati, his result was a 44-year best. He also outperformed Obama's 2012 results in Butler (Cincinnati suburbs) and Greene (Dayton suburbs) counties.
However, in all other counties, Biden underperformed Barack Obama's 2008 and 2012 results and occasionally also John Kerry 's 2004 results. For example, in Athens County , home to Ohio University , which has been one of the Democrats' strongest counties that Obama won by 35 points in both 2008 and 2012, Biden improved Clinton's result by 1.5 percent, but Trump reduced his 2016 losing margin from 17 points to 15 points and managed to win 40% of the county's vote, the first Republican to do so since George H. W. Bush in 1988. Biden underperformed Clinton in the Northeast and Lake Erie area, also in the most populous counties - in addition to losing Mahoning and Lorain counties, although in Cuyahoga County , home to Cleveland , he improved Clinton's 2016 result by 1 point, his 34-point winning margin was one point worse than Clinton's, six points down from Obama's 2012 40-point and only 0.36 percent better than Kerry's in 2004. In Lucas County , home to Toledo , he improved Clinton's result by 1.5 percent, but at a 1 percent worse margin at 16.73%, a 32-year low for Democrats after Michael Dukakis won it by under 9 points in 1988. While in Summit County , home to Akron , he improved on Clinton's result by 2.35 percent and the margin by 1 percent, at 9.5 percent it was still a far cry from Obama's 17-percent margin in 2008, and second-worst for Democrats since 1988. In Stark County , home to Canton , he improved on Clinton's result by 1.25 percent, but his 1.35% worse losing margin of 18.51 percent was a 36-year low for Democrats, after Walter Mondale lost it by 20.18 percent in 1984.
This was the first presidential election in which a candidate received more than 3 million votes in Ohio. Ohio is one of three states, the others being Iowa and Florida , that voted twice for Barack Obama and twice for Donald Trump . This ended Ohio's 14-election bellwether streak from 1964 to 2016.
Mahoning County
Trump: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Biden: 40–50% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90%
Mahoning County , anchored by the car-making town of Youngstown , voted Republican for the first time since Richard Nixon 's landslide re-election in 1972 . The slim victory by Trump marked a collapse in Democrats' support among white working-class voters, and tightened the President's grip on blue-collar white voters.
David Betras, who was Democratic chairman of Mahoning County until 2019, speculated on the disconnect between Democrats in Washington who focused messaging Trump's unfitness for office, his taxes and possible impeachment , and the concerns of blue-collar workers were supporting Trump for his trade war with China , regardless of economic pain caused by tariffs .[ 95]
Voter demographics
Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroup
Biden
Trump
No
% of
Party
Democrat
92
7
1
31
Republican
7
93
N/A
39
Independent
48
48
4
30
Gender
Men
39
59
2
47
Women
51
48
1
53
Race
White
39
60
1
84
Black
91
8
1
11
Latino
57
39
4
3
Asian
N/A
N/A
N/A
1
Other
48
51
1
2
Gender by race/ethnicity
White men
33
65
2
40
White women
44
55
1
44
Black men
86
11
3
4
Black women
93
6
1
7
Latino men (of any race)
N/A
N/A
N/A
1
Latino women (of any race)
60
39
1
2
All other races
50
49
1
2
Age
18–24 years old
55
42
3
9
25–29 years old
60
33
7
6
30–39 years old
53
44
3
15
40–49 years old
47
52
1
16
50–64 years old
42
58
N/A
29
65 and older
37
62
1
23
Sexual orientation
LGBT
82
15
3
6
Heterosexual
42
57
1
94
First time voter
First time voter
45
53
2
9
Everyone else
45
54
1
91
Education
High school or less
35
64
1
23
Some college education
42
56
2
28
Associate degree
44
54
2
15
Bachelor's degree
50
48
2
21
Advanced degree
62
36
2
14
Education by race/ethnicity
White college graduates
52
46
2
30
White no college degree
31
67
2
53
Non-white college graduates
78
21
1
4
Non-white no college degree
79
19
1
12
Income
Under $30,000
53
46
1
15
$30,000–49,999
52
46
2
20
$50,000–99,999
43
55
2
34
$100,000–199,999
41
58
1
25
Over $200,000
47
50
3
7
Abortion should be
Legal in all cases
79
17
4
21
Legal in most cases
65
34
1
30
Illegal in most cases
13
86
1
30
Illegal in all cases
10
89
1
14
Region
Cleveland Area
60
39
1
15
North
45
53
2
25
West
26
72
2
11
Columbus Area
54
45
1
18
Cincinnati/Dayton Area
47
52
1
21
Ohio Valley
28
71
1
11
Source: CNN [ 96]
See also
Notes
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Key:
^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
^ a b "Some other candidate" with 3%
^ a b c d e "Someone else" with 2%
^ a b c "Someone else" with 1%
^ a b With voters who lean towards a given candidate
^ "Other" with 1%; would not vote with no voters
^ a b "Some other candidate" with 2%
^ a b "Another candidate" with 1%
^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
^ Includes "Refused"
^ "Someone else/third party" with 1%
^ "Other" and would not vote with no voters
^ "Other" with 0%; would not vote with no voters
^ a b "Other" and would not vote with 1%
^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
^ "Someone else" with 5%
^ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
^ "Someone else" with 4%
^ "Other and Undecided" with 8%
^ "Someone else/third party" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
^ "Other candidates" with 6%
^ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
^ "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
^ Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
^ a b c d e The poll below displays the results for voters who are sure how they will vote. This one incorporates the preferences of those who lean towards one of two candidates.
^ a b Figures for each candidate in this poll include undecided voters who were reported to lean towards that candidate at the time of polling.
^ "It depends on who the Democrats nominate" with 1.4%; "unsure" with 0.7%
Partisan clients
^ a b c Rust Belt Rising is affiliated with the Democratic Party
^ a b The American Action Forum is a 501 organization which usually supports Republican candidates
^ The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
^ The Progressive Policy Institute endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
^ Progress Ohio exclusively supports Democratic candidates
^ The Center for American Greatness is a pro-Trump organization
References
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Morning Consult Pro .^ "Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising" (PDF) .^ "progressohio.org - progressohio Resources and Information" (PDF) . Archived from the original on September 13, 2020.^ a b "Extensive New Battleground Polling Shows Biden Gaining Ground" . Morning Consult .^ "Google Drive: Sign-in" . accounts.google.com .^ "Zogby Analytics - The Zogby Poll®: Trump and Biden neck and neck in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania; Biden up by four percent in North Carolina; Trump winning big with 'swing voters' . zogbyanalytics.com .^ Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/AGPAC Archived July 22, 2020, at the Wayback Machine ^ "New Poll Puts Biden Up Over Trump in Ohio, Coronavirus and the Economy Are Top Issues" . Ideastream Public Media . August 3, 2020.^ "Poll Results | Quinnipiac University Poll" .^ "Fox News" (PDF) .^ "Emerson Polling - Ohio, Texas, and California 2020: Trump with Narrow Leads in Ohio and Texas, but has Widespread Expectation of Being Re-elected" . emersonpolling.reportablenews.com .^ "Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University" (PDF) .^ a b "Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes" (PDF) .^ "Change Research" (PDF) .^ a b "NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College" (PDF) .^ a b c d e f "Public Policy Polling" (PDF) .^ a b c d e f g h "Climate Nexus" (PDF) .^ a b c d "Emerson College" . Archived from the original on October 3, 2019. Retrieved October 4, 2019 .^ a b c d e f "Quinnipiac University" . Archived from the original on July 30, 2019.^ a b c d Seth A. Richardson, cleveland com (November 30, 2018). "Think Sherrod Brown should run for president? You might like this 2020 poll" . cleveland . ^ a b "Emerson College" .^ "Zogby Analytics - The Zogby Poll: Trump approval/Trump Vs. Warren in 11 states" . zogbyanalytics.com .^ Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University ^ "Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University" (PDF) .^ "Ohio Northern University" .^ a b "Baldwin Wallace University" (PDF) .^ a b Rich Exner, cleveland com (March 19, 2018). "Donald Trump would easily beat John Kasich in rematch of Ohio Republican primary: Baldwin Wallace survey" . cleveland . ^ "2020 Official Elections Results" . Ohio Secretary of State . November 2020. Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. Retrieved March 16, 2021 .^ "2020 Official Elections Results" .^ "Counties that flipped from Donald Trump to Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election" . The Republican Archived from the original on January 4, 2025.^ Grabar, Henry (November 13, 2018). 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Further reading
David Wasserman (October 6, 2020), "The 10 Bellwether Counties That Show How Trump Is in Serious Trouble" , The New York Times bellwether Wood County, Ohio )"Ohio, bellwether again: A close race in Ohio is bad news for Donald Trump" , Economist.com David Weigel ; Lauren Tierney (October 11, 2020), "The seven political states of Ohio" , Washingtonpost.com the original on October 12, 2020
External links
Elections & Voting Archived July 26, 2017, at the Wayback Machine at the Ohio Secretary of State official websiteOhio at Ballotpedia Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Ohio" , Voting & Elections Toolkits "Ohio: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links" , Vote.org "League of Women Voters of Ohio" .League of Women Voters )
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