2022 Alaska's at-large congressional district special election
The 2022 Alaska at-large congressional district special election was held on August 16 to fill the seat left vacant after the death of Republican incumbent Don Young .[ 2] Mary Peltola was elected in a 3-way race against former governor Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III in the election, becoming the first Alaska Native and woman to represent Alaska in the House.[ 3]
The election was the first to use Alaska's new ranked-choice voting (RCV) method, approved by voters in 2020 . The winners of the top-four blanket primary advanced to the ranked-choice runoff election, but only three candidates competed (as Al Gross withdrew and endorsed Peltola). Peltola was declared the winner on August 31 after all ballots were counted.[ 4] [ 5] [ 6] traditionally Republican state . She became the first Democrat to win a statewide election in Alaska since 2008[ 7] [ 8]
The results were praised by many pundits and activists. FairVote , a pro-RCV lobbying group, argued the low number of spoiled ballots proved Alaskans could use and understand the system.[ 9] Andrew Yang said the election served as a model for electing moderate candidates to office, regardless of partisan affiliation .[ 10]
By contrast, some scholars criticized the instant-runoff procedure for its pathological behavior ,[ 11] [ 12] center squeeze .[ 12] [ 13] [ 14] Mary Peltola received a plurality of first choice votes and won in the final round, a majority of voters ranked her last or left her off their ballot entirely.[ 12] preferred by a majority to each one of his opponents, with 53% of voters ranking him above Peltola.[ 12] [ 15] [ 16] spoiled the election by splitting the first-round vote, leading to Begich's elimination and costing Republicans the seat.[ 12] [ 17]
The election also exhibited nonmonotonic behavior ,[ 17] [ 17] [ 18] [ 17] [ 12] [ 17] [ 19]
In the wake of the election, a poll found 54% of Alaskans, including a third of Peltola voters, supported a repeal of RCV,[ 10] 2009 Burlington mayoral election , where similar pathologies resulted in a 2010 initiative repealing the system.[ 20] [ 21] [ 22] [ 11]
Nonpartisan blanket primary
Candidates
Advanced to general election
Withdrew after advancing to general election
Eliminated in primary
Dennis Aguayo (independent)[ 23]
Jay R. Armstrong (Republican), gold miner[ 23]
Brian Beal (independent)[ 23]
Tim Beck (independent), former Fairbanks North Star Borough Assembly member (1998–2004, 2005–2011), candidate for FNSB mayor (2000) and Alaska Senate (2006)[ 23]
Gregg Brelsford (independent), lawyer and former manager of Bristol Bay Borough (2018–2020)[ 23] [ 30]
Robert Brown (independent), veteran[ 23]
Chris Bye (Libertarian), fishing guide[ 23]
John Callahan (Republican), public affairs officer for the Alaska Air National Guard [ 23] [ 31]
Arlene Carl (independent), retiree[ 23]
Santa Claus (independent), North Pole city councillor (2015–2018, since 2019) and mayor pro tem [ 23] [ 32] (endorsed Peltola) [ 33] John Coghill (Republican), former majority leader of the Alaskan State Senate (2013–2017), former state senator (2009–2021), former majority leader of the Alaskan House of Representatives (2002–2006), former state representative (1999–2009), son of former lieutenant governor Jack Coghill , and U.S. Air Force veteran[ 23] [ 34] Christopher Constant (Democratic), Anchorage Assembly member since 2017[ 23] [ 24]
Lady Donna Dutchess (independent), judicial reform activist[ 23]
Otto Florschutz (Republican), former Wrangell Port Commissioner[ 23]
Laurel Foster (independent), paralegal[ 23]
Tom Gibbons (Republican), business manager[ 23]
Karyn Griffin (independent), political organizer and activist[ 23] [ 35]
Andrew Halcro (independent), former Republican state representative (1998–2003) and Independent candidate for governor of Alaska in 2006 [ 23] [ 36] [ 32] Ted Heintz (independent), Corporate Contract Services Professional[ 23]
William Hibler III (independent), former glaciologist with the University of Alaska Fairbanks and Democratic candidate for Alaska's at-large congressional district in 2016 and 2020 [ 23]
John Howe (Alaskan Independence Party), machinist and Alaskan Independence Party nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020[ 23]
David Hughes (independent), program manager[ 23]
Don Knight (independent)[ 23]
Jeff Lowenfels (independent), attorney and gardening writer[ 23] [ 36]
Robert "Bob" Lyons (Republican), case manager[ 23] [ 37]
Anne McCabe (independent), former president of the Kenai Peninsula Educational Support Association[ 23] [ 35]
Mikel Melander, blue collar worker[ 23]
Sherry Mettler (independent), businesswoman[ 23]
Mike Milligan (Democratic), former Kodiak Island Borough Assembly member, Green Party nominee for U.S. House (1992) and lieutenant governor (1998)[ 23]
J. R. Myers (Libertarian), behavioral health clinician, founder of the Alaska Constitution Party and its nominee for governor in 2014 [ 23]
Emil Notti (Democratic), engineer, former commissioner of the Alaska Department of Commerce , former chair of the Alaska Democratic Party , and nominee for Alaska's at-large congressional district in 1973 [ 23] [ 38] Robert Ornelas (American Independent Party), perennial candidate[ 23]
Silvio Pellegrini (independent), cyber security manager, IT project manager, and intelligence analyst for the US Air Force Reserve [ 23] [ 39]
Josh Revak (Republican), state senator for District M (2019–present) and U.S. Army veteran[ 23] [ 32] Maxwell Sumner (Republican), homebuilder[ 23] [ 31]
Tara Sweeney (Republican), former assistant secretary of the Interior for the Bureau of Indian Affairs (2018–2021)[ 23] [ 36] [ 26] [ 40] (ran as write-in candidate in general election) [ 41] David Thistle (independent)[ 23]
Ernest Thomas (Democratic)[ 23]
Clayton Trotter (Republican), college professor[ 23]
Bradley Welter (Republican)[ 23]
Jason Williams (independent)[ 23]
Joe Woodward (Republican)[ 23]
Adam Wool (Democratic), state representative (2015–present)[ 23] [ 32] Stephen Wright (Republican), candidate for Alaska's at-large congressional district in 2016, candidate for Alaska State Senate in 2020, and U.S. Air Force veteran[ 23] [ 42]
Withdrawn
Declined
Endorsements
Nick Begich (R)
State legislators
Ben Carpenter , state representative (2019–present)John Coghill , former state senator (2009–2021) and former state representativeMia Costello , state senator (2015–present)Mike Cronk , state representative (2021–present)Lynn Gattis , former state representative (2013–2017)Ron Gillham , state representative (2021–present)Roger Holland , state senator (2021–present)Shelley Hughes , Majority Leader of the Alaska Senate (2021–present), state senator (2017–present), and former state representative (2012–2017)Pete Kelly , former president of the Alaska Senate (2017–2019) and state senator (2013–2019; 1999–2003)Kevin McCabe , state representative (2021–present)Ken McCarty , state representative (2021–present)Tom McKay , state representative (2021–present)Charisse Millett , former Majority Leader of the Alaska House of Representatives (2017–2019) and state representative (2009–2019)Mike Prax , state representative (2020–present)George Rauscher , state representative (2017–present)Mike Shower , state senator (2018–present)Sarah Vance , state representative (2019–present)Organizations
Individuals
Jim and Faye Palin, Sarah Palin 's former father-in-law and mother-in-law[ 47] Christopher Constant (D)
U.S. senators
State legislators
Local officials
Al Gross (I)
State officials
State legislators
Sarah Palin (R)
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. federal legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Josh Revak (R)
Individuals
Anne Garland Young, Don Young's widow[ 53] Tara Sweeney (R)
U.S. executive branch officials
State officials
Organizations
ANCSA Regional Association[ 54]
Debates and forums
2022 Alaska at-large special primary debates and forums
No.
Date
Host
Moderator
Link
Participants
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn
Begich
Coghill
Constant
Gross
Lowenfels
Palin
Revak
Peltola
Sweeney
1[ 55]
May 12, 2022
Alaska Chamber
N/A
YouTube [ 56] P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
Polling
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[ a]
Margin
Nick
Santa
John
Christopher
Al
Andrew
Jeff
Sarah
Mary
Josh
Tara
Adam
Other
Undecided
Alaska Survey Research [ 57] May 6–9, 2022
605 (LV)
± 4.0%
16%
6%
2%
5%
13%
2%
3%
19%
5%
4%
4%
2%
4%
16%
Remington Research Group (R) [ 58] April 7–9, 2022
955 (LV)
± 3.1%
21%
–
–
7%
26%
–
–
31%
–
3%
2%
–
4%
6%
Results
Primary election results by state house district
General election
Under Alaska's top-four primary system, if a general election candidate drops out, the director of elections may replace them with the name of the fifth-place finisher. Shortly after the primary, Al Gross dropped out of the general election, but Division of Elections Director Gail Fenumiai did not advance Tara Sweeney in his place because there were less than 64 days remaining until the general election as required by law. After a lawsuit, the Alaska Supreme Court upheld Fenumiai's decision.[ 40]
Predictions
Endorsements
Nick Begich (R)
State legislators
Ben Carpenter , state representative (2019–present)Mia Costello , state senator (2015–present)Mike Cronk , state representative (2021–present)Lynn Gattis , former state representative (2013–2017)Ron Gillham , state representative (2021–present)Roger Holland , state senator (2021–present)Shelley Hughes , Majority Leader of the Alaska Senate (2021–present), state senator (2017–present), and former state representative (2012–2017)DeLena Johnson , state representativePete Kelly , former president of the Alaska Senate (2017–2019) and state senator (2013–2019; 1999–2003)Kevin McCabe , state representative (2021–present)Ken McCarty , state representative (2021–present)Tom McKay , state representative (2021–present)Charisse Millett , former Majority Leader of the Alaska House of Representatives (2017–2019) and state representative (2009–2019)Rob Myers Jr. , state senator (2021–present)Mike Prax , state representative (2020–present)George Rauscher , state representative (2017–present)Mike Shower , state senator (2018–present)Steve Thompson , state representative (2011–present)Cathy Tilton , state representative (2015–present)Sarah Vance , state representative (2019–present)Local officials
Amy Demboski, Anchorage assembly member Organizations
Individuals
Jim and Faye Palin, Sarah Palin 's former father-in-law and mother-in-law Sarah Palin (R)
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. federal legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Mary Peltola (D)
U.S. federal legislators
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Tribes
Polling
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[ a]
Margin
RCV
Nick
Al
Sarah
Mary
Undecided
Alaska Survey Research [ 69] July 20–25, 2022
1,219 (LV)
± 2.9%
1
30%
–
29%
41%
–
2
55%
–
45%
2*[ c]
–
49%
51%
Alaska Survey Research [ 70] July 2–5, 2022
1,201 (LV)
± 2.9%
1
31%
–
29%
40%
–
2
57%
–
43%
2*[ 71] [ c]
–
49%
51%
June 21, 2022
Gross withdraws from the race
Alaska Survey Research [ 72] May 6–9, 2022
605 (LV)
± 4.0%
1
29%
27%
26%
19%
–
2
33%
40%
28%
–
3
54%
46%
–
Hypothetical polling
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[ a]
Margin
RCV
Nick
Santa
Christopher
Al
Sarah
Tara
Undecided
Alaska Survey Research [ 73] May 6–9, 2022
605 (LV)
± 4.0%
1
28%
21%
–
26%
25%
–
–
2
32%
–
40%
28%
3
53%
47%
–
3*[ 74] [ d]
–
53%
–
47%
Alaska Survey Research [ 75] May 6–9, 2022
605 (LV)
± 4.0%
1
29%
–
17%
27%
28%
–
–
2
32%
–
40%
28%
3
54%
46%
–
Alaska Survey Research [ 76] May 6–9, 2022
605 (LV)
± 4.0%
1
28%
–
35%
26%
11%
–
2
32%
39%
29%
–
3
55%
45%
–
Al Gross vs. Sarah Palin vs. Lora Reinbold vs. Josh Revak
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[ a]
Margin
RCV
Al
Sarah
Lora
Josh
Undecided
Change Research (D) [ 77] [ A] March 25–29, 2022
728 (LV)
± 3.6%
BA
33%
30%
8%
9%
16%
2
33%
30%
–
11%
26%
3
35%
35%
–
–
30%
Al Gross vs. Sarah Palin
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[ a]
Margin
Al
Sarah
Undecided
Change Research (D) [ 77] [ A] March 25–29, 2022
728 (LV)
± 3.6%
40%
42%
19%
Al Gross vs. Josh Revak
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[ a]
Margin
Al
Josh
Undecided
Change Research (D) [ 77] [ A] March 25–29, 2022
728 (LV)
± 3.6%
35%
34%
31%
Results
Preference flow
2022 Alaska's at-large congressional district special election[ 1] [ 78]
Party
Candidate
First choice
Round 1
Round 2
Votes
%
Transfer
Votes
%
Transfer
Votes
%
Democratic Mary Peltola 74,817
39.66%
+982
75,799
40.19%
+15,467
91,266
51.48%
Republican
Sarah Palin 58,339
30.92%
+634
58,973
31.27%
+27,053
86,026
48.52%
Republican
Nick Begich III 52,536
27.84%
+1,274
53,810
28.53%
-53,810
Eliminated
Write-in
2,974
1.58%
-2,974
Eliminated
Total votes
188,666
188,582
177,292
Blank or inactive ballots
3,707
+11,290
14,997
Democratic gain from Republican
First round results by state house district
District
Nick Begich III Republican
Sarah Palin Republican
Mary Peltola Democratic
Write-in
Margin [ e]
Total votes
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
District 1
1,448
33.42%
1,409
32.52%
1,432
33.05%
44
1.02%
16
0.37%
4,333
District 2
979
20.03%
1,504
30.78%
2,359
48.27%
45
0.92%
855
17.50%
4,887
District 3
1,522
23.28%
1,235
18.89%
3,723
56.94%
59
0.90%
2,201
33.66%
6,539
District 4
1,003
17.38%
701
12.15%
4,014
69.55%
53
0.92%
3,011
52.17%
5,771
District 5
929
23.05%
1,301
32.27%
1,743
43.24%
58
1.44%
442
10.97%
4,031
District 6
1,923
25.63%
2,468
32.90%
3,039
40.51%
72
0.96%
571
7.61%
7,502
District 7
1,673
30.99%
2,448
45.34%
1,213
22.47%
65
1.20%
775
14.35%
5,399
District 8
1,867
28.54%
3,216
49.17%
1,394
21.31%
64
0.98%
1,349
20.62%
6,541
District 9
2,684
32.55%
1,656
20.08%
3,722
45.13%
185
2.24%
1,038
12.59%
8,247
District 10
1,687
32.11%
1,370
26.08%
2,099
39.96%
97
1.85%
412
7.84%
5,253
District 11
2,054
33.11%
1,506
24.28%
2,537
40.90%
106
1.71%
483
7.79%
6,203
District 12
1,341
28.17%
1,114
23.40%
2,228
46.81%
77
1.62%
887
18.63%
4,760
District 13
1,096
27.41%
1,047
26.18%
1,791
44.79%
65
1.63%
695
17.38%
3,999
District 14
1,000
21.80%
897
19.56%
2,615
57.01%
75
1.64%
1,615
35.21%
4,587
District 15
1,884
32.62%
1,349
23.36%
2,439
42.23%
103
1.78%
555
9.61%
5,775
District 16
1,671
27.09%
1,138
18.45%
3,234
52.43%
125
2.03%
1,563
25.34%
6,168
District 17
905
18.96%
704
14.75%
3,066
64.25%
97
2.03%
2,161
45.28%
4,772
District 18
299
22.91%
360
27.59%
626
47.97%
20
1.53%
266
20.38%
1,305
District 19
536
20.93%
521
20.34%
1,465
57.20%
39
1.52%
929
36.27%
2,561
District 20
885
23.17%
924
24.19%
1,969
51.56%
41
1.07%
1,045
27.36%
3,819
District 21
1,528
28.67%
1,256
23.56%
2,469
46.32%
77
1.44%
941
17.65%
5,330
District 22
755
30.77%
682
27.79%
971
39.57%
46
1.87%
216
8.80%
2,454
District 23
1,909
32.15%
1,884
31.73%
2,044
34.43%
100
1.68%
135
2.27%
5,937
District 24
2,191
37.08%
1,945
32.92%
1,682
28.47%
91
1.54%
246
4.16%
5,909
District 25
2,070
33.93%
2,338
38.32%
1,624
26.62%
69
1.13%
268
4.39%
6,101
District 26
1,566
31.95%
2,398
48.92%
883
18.01%
55
1.12%
832
16.97%
4,902
District 27
1,410
30.78%
2,303
50.27%
809
17.66%
59
1.29%
893
19.49%
4,581
District 28
1,683
32.88%
2,402
46.92%
979
19.12%
55
1.07%
719
14.05%
5,119
District 29
1,834
32.35%
2,390
42.15%
1,395
24.60%
51
0.90%
556
9.81%
5,670
District 30
1,581
26.73%
2,729
46.14%
1,542
26.07%
63
1.07%
1,148
19.41%
5,915
District 31
953
26.64%
1,144
31.98%
1,407
39.33%
73
2.04%
263
7.35%
3,577
District 32
562
26.53%
929
43.86%
581
27.43%
46
2.17%
348
16.43%
2,118
District 33
1,117
27.45%
2,145
52.72%
743
18.26%
64
1.57%
1,028
25.26%
4,069
District 34
1,411
25.52%
1,966
35.56%
2,041
36.91%
111
2.01%
75
1.36%
5,529
District 35
1,182
20.90%
1,453
25.69%
2,911
48.4%
109
1.93%
1,458
25.78%
5,655
District 36
1,485
26.61%
1,979
35.46%
2,030
36.37%
87
1.56%
51
0.91%
5,581
District 37
599
28.62%
563
26.90%
908
43.38%
23
1.10%
309
14.76%
2,093
District 38
289
15.17%
269
14.12%
1,327
69.66%
20
1.05%
1,038
54.49%
1,905
District 39
635
28.01%
391
17.25%
1,185
52.27%
56
2.47%
550
24.26%
2,267
District 40
389
26.46%
303
20.61%
549
37.35%
229
15.58%
160
10.88%
1,470
Overseas voters
1
3.13%
2
6.25%
29
90.63%
0
0.00%
27
84.38%
32
Totals
52,536
27.85%
58,339
30.92%
74,817
39.66%
2,974
1.58%
16,478
8.73%
188,666
Final round results by state house district
District[ 79] [ f]
Mary Peltola Democratic
Sarah Palin Republican
Margin[ e]
Total active votes
#
%
#
%
#
%
District 1
1,894
49.17%
1,958
50.83%
64
1.66%
3,852
District 2
2,739
59.34%
1,877
40.66%
862
18.67%
4,616
District 3
4,250
68.59%
1,946
31.41%
2,304
37.19%
6,196
District 4
4,408
79.74%
1,120
20.26%
3,288
59.48%
5,528
District 5
2,123
56.05%
1,665
43.95%
458
12.09%
3,788
District 6
3,562
50.10%
3,548
49.90%
14
0.20%
7,110
District 7
1,643
33.34%
3,285
66.66%
1,642
33.32%
4,928
District 8
1,822
30.05%
4,241
69.95%
2,419
39.90%
6,063
District 9
4,536
58.81%
3,177
41.19%
1,359
17.62%
7,713
District 10
2,661
53.83%
2,282
46.17%
379
7.67%
4,943
District 11
3,148
54.23%
2,657
45.77%
491
8.46%
5,805
District 12
2,694
59.43%
1,839
40.57%
855
18.86%
4,533
District 13
2,172
57.07%
1,634
42.93%
538
14.14%
3,806
District 14
3,013
68.93%
1,358
31.07%
1,655
37.86%
4,371
District 15
3,031
55.99%
2,382
44.01%
649
11.99%
5,413
District 16
3,847
65.67%
2,011
34.33%
1,836
31.34%
5,858
District 17
3,475
76.12%
1,090
23.88%
2,385
52.25%
4,565
District 18
727
58.39%
518
41.61%
209
16.79%
1,245
District 19
1,675
68.28%
778
31.72%
897
36.57%
2,453
District 20
2,331
63.64%
1,332
36.36%
999
27.27%
3,663
District 21
2,969
58.68%
2,091
41.32%
878
17.35%
5,060
District 22
1,240
53.54%
1,076
46.46%
164
7.08%
2,316
District 23
2,570
46.28%
2,983
53.72%
413
7.44%
5,553
District 24
2,203
40.27%
3,267
59.73%
1,064
19.45%
5,470
District 25
2,126
37.60%
3,529
62.40%
1,403
24.81%
5,655
District 26
1,175
25.63%
3,409
74.37%
2,234
48.73%
4,584
District 27
1,151
26.88%
3,131
73.12%
1,980
46.24%
4,282
District 28
1,397
29.23%
3,383
70.77%
1,986
41.55%
4,780
District 29
1,855
34.74%
3,484
65.26%
1,629
30.51%
5,339
District 30
1,942
34.88%
3,626
65.12%
1,684
30.24%
5,568
District 31
1,752
52.24%
1,602
47.76%
150
4.47%
3,354
District 32
777
38.66%
1,233
61.34%
456
22.69%
2,010
District 33
1,006
26.18%
2,837
73.82%
1,831
47.65%
3,843
District 34
2,470
47.43%
2,738
52.57%
268
5.15%
5,208
District 35
3,373
62.13%
2,056
37.87%
1,317
24.26%
5,429
District 36
2,462
47.19%
2,755
52.81%
293
5.62%
5,217
District 37
1,157
59.79%
778
40.21%
379
19.59%
1,935
District 38
1,490
80.41%
363
19.59%
1,127
60.82%
1,853
District 39
1,507
74.35%
520
25.65%
987
48.69%
2,027
District 40
863
65.13%
462
34.87%
401
30.26%
1,325
Overseas voters
29
90.63%
3
9.38%
26
81.25%
32
Totals
91,265
48.4%
86,024
45.6%
5,241
2.96%
177,289
Pairwise comparison [further explanation needed
Pairwise comparison matrix[ 16] [ 12]
Begich
Peltola
Palin
Begich
-
88,126
101,438
Peltola
79,486
-
91,375
Palin
63,666
86,197
-
The pairwise comparison shows that Begich is the Condorcet winner (majority-preferred winner) while Palin is both the Condorcet loser and a spoiler :[ 80] [ 81] [ 82] [ 83]
Winner
Loser
Winner
Loser
Begich
vs.
Peltola
52.6%
vs. 47.4%
Begich
vs.
Palin
61.4%
vs. 38.6%
Peltola
vs.
Palin
51.5%
vs. 48.5%
See also
Wikinews has related news:
Notes
^ a b c d e f Key:
^ withdrew from the general election following his victory in the primary
^ a b Hypothetical scenario with Palin and Peltola as the top two based on expressed ranked choice preferences
^ Hypothetical scenario with Claus and Palin as the top two based on expressed ranked choice preferences
^ a b Margin is the difference between the number of votes won by the winning candidate and the number of votes won by the candidate who won the second-largest number of votes.
^ Results from unofficial tabulation of the raw Cast Vote Record file.
Partisan clients
^ a b c This poll was sponsored by 314 Action , which supports Gross
References
^ a b "State of Alaska | 2022 SPECIAL GENERAL ELECTION | Election Summary Report | August 16, 2022 | OFFICIAL RESULTS" (PDF) . Alaska Division of Elections . September 2, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on August 17, 2022. Retrieved September 2, 2022 .^ Miller, Andrew Mark (March 18, 2022). "Alaska Republican Congressman Don Young dead at 88" . Fox News Archived from the original on March 19, 2022. Retrieved March 18, 2022 . ^ Rockey, Tim (September 2022). "Peltola to become first Alaska Native, first female Alaska congresswoman" . Alaskasnewssource.com. Archived from the original on September 1, 2022. Retrieved September 1, 2022 . ^ Brooks, James (March 19, 2022). "Alaska's first ranked-choice election will be a special vote to replace Rep. Don Young" . Anchorage Daily News . Archived from the original on March 23, 2022. Retrieved March 21, 2022 . ^ Samuels, Iris. "Peltola again grows her lead, but final outcome in Alaska's U.S. House race is days away" . Anchorage Daily News . Archived from the original on August 28, 2022. Retrieved August 28, 2022 . ^ "Democrat Mary Peltola wins special election to fill Alaska's U.S. House seat" . Reuters . September 1, 2022. Archived from the original on September 1, 2022. Retrieved September 1, 2022 .^ Rakich, Nathaniel (September 1, 2022). "What Democrats' Win In Alaska Tells Us About November" . FiveThirtyEight . Archived from the original on September 1, 2022. Retrieved September 1, 2022 . ^ Media, Alaska Public; Media, Chris Klint, Alaska Public (September 13, 2022). "Mary Peltola makes history as first Alaska Native person sworn into Congress" . KTOO . Retrieved May 19, 2024 . {{cite web }}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link )^ Otis, Deb (August 31, 2022). "Results and analysis from Alaska's first RCV election" . FairVote . ^ a b "North to the Future: Alaska's Ranked Choice Voting System is Praised and Criticized Nationally" . Alaska Public Media. September 19, 2023.^ a b Maskin, Eric ; Foley, Edward B. (November 1, 2022). "Opinion: Alaska's ranked-choice voting is flawed. But there's an easy fix" . Washington Post . ISSN 0190-8286 . Retrieved February 9, 2024 .^ a b c d e f g Graham-Squire, Adam; McCune, David (September 11, 2022). "A Mathematical Analysis of the 2022 Alaska Special Election for US House". p. 2. arXiv :2209.04764v3 econ.GN ]. Since Begich wins both … he is the Condorcet winner of the election … AK election also contains a Condorcet loser: Sarah Palin. … she is also a spoiler candidate ^ Clelland, Jeanne N. (February 28, 2023). "Ranked Choice Voting And the Center Squeeze in the Alaska 2022 Special Election: How Might Other Voting Methods Compare?". p. 6. arXiv :2303.00108v1 cs.CY ]. ^ Atkinson, Nathan; Ganz, Scott C. (October 30, 2022). "The flaw in ranked-choice voting: rewarding extremists" . The Hill . Retrieved May 14, 2023 . However, ranked-choice voting makes it more difficult to elect moderate candidates when the electorate is polarized. For example, in a three-person race, the moderate candidate may be preferred by a majority of voters to each of the more extreme candidates. However, voters with far-left and far-right views will rank the candidate in second place rather than in first place. Since ranked-choice voting counts only the number of first-choice votes (among the remaining candidates), the moderate candidate would be eliminated in the first round, leaving one of the extreme candidates to be declared the winner. ^ Atkinson, Nathan; Ganz, Scott C. (October 30, 2022). "The flaw in ranked-choice voting: rewarding extremists" . The Hill . Retrieved May 14, 2023 . However, ranked-choice voting makes it more difficult to elect moderate candidates when the electorate is polarized. For example, in a three-person race, the moderate candidate may be preferred to each of the more extreme candidates by a majority of voters. However, voters with far-left and far-right views will rank the candidate in second place rather than in first place. Since ranked-choice voting counts only the number of first-choice votes (among the remaining candidates), the moderate candidate would be eliminated in the first round, leaving one of the extreme candidates to be declared the winner. ^ a b Clelland, Jeanne N. (February 28, 2023). "Ranked Choice Voting And the Center Squeeze in the Alaska 2022 Special Election: How Might Other Voting Methods Compare?". p. 6. arXiv :2303.00108v1 cs.CY ]. ^ a b c d e Graham-Squire, Adam; McCune, David (January 2, 2024). "Ranked Choice Wackiness in Alaska" . Math Horizons . 31 (1): 24– 27. doi :10.1080/10724117.2023.2224675 . ISSN 1072-4117 . ^ Doron, Gideon; Kronick, Richard (1977). "Single Transferrable Vote: An Example of a Perverse Social Choice Function" . American Journal of Political Science . 21 (2): 303– 311. doi :10.2307/2110496 . ISSN 0092-5853 . JSTOR 2110496 . ^ Hamlin, Aaron (September 16, 2022). "RCV Fools Palin Voters into Electing a Progressive Democrat" . The Center for Election Science . Retrieved July 11, 2024 . It's a good thing for Peltola that she didn't attract more Palin voters—she'd have lost. The strangeness continues. Peltola could have actually gotten more 1st choice votes in this election and caused herself to lose. How's that? Let's look. [...] Imagine if Peltola reached across the aisle and spoke directly to Palin voters. Imagine that she empathized with their position and identified issues they cared about that Palin and even Begich ignored. And let's say that as a consequence, Peltola got the first-choice votes of between 5,200 and 8,500 voters who would have otherwise ranked only Palin. What happens as a result? Palin would have gotten eliminated in the first round and Peltola would still not be able to beat Begich. ^ Baruth, Philip (March 12, 2009). "Voting Paradoxes and Perverse Outcomes: Political Scientist Tony Gierzynski Lays Out A Case Against Instant Runoff Voting" . Vermont Daily Briefing. Archived from the original on July 26, 2011. ^ "Burlington voters repeal IRV" . Wcax.com . March 2, 2010. Archived from the original on April 9, 2016. Retrieved March 28, 2016 .^ "Instant run-off voting experiment ends in Burlington : Rutland Herald Online" . Rutlandherald.com . April 27, 2010. Archived from the original on March 4, 2016. Retrieved April 1, 2016 .^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay "2022 Special Primary Election for U.S. Representative" . Alaska Division of Elections . Archived from the original on March 27, 2022. 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"Al Gross, a top four candidate for US House, calls it quits" . Archived from the original on June 23, 2022. Retrieved June 27, 2022 . ^ Herz, Nathaniel; Brooks, James (March 22, 2022). "After Young's death, Alaska's political world braces for a sea change and an elections marathon" . Anchorage Daily News Archived from the original on March 22, 2022. Retrieved March 22, 2022 . ^ a b c Samuels, Iris; Herz, Nathaniel; Brooks, James (April 2, 2022). "51 candidates: A wild U.S. House race takes shape in Alaska" . Anchorage Daily News Archived from the original on April 2, 2022. Retrieved April 2, 2022 . ^ a b c d Bohrer, Becky (April 2, 2022). "Palin joins 50 others in running for Alaska US House seat" . Alton Telegraph . Archived from the original on April 15, 2022. Retrieved April 2, 2022 . ^ a b "OUR campaign gives voters hope for a better future for all Alaskans, especially our children. Thank you so much for your unwavering support, kind words, and love (the greatest gift), and the powerful statement you have made with your vote. My 2-min video" . Archived from the original on June 29, 2022. Retrieved June 28, 2022 .^ Bohrer, Becky (March 28, 2022). "Gross, Coghill say they plan to run for Alaska US House seat" . San Francisco Chronicle Associated Press . Archived from the original on March 29, 2022. Retrieved March 29, 2022 . ^ a b O'Hara, Ashlyn (April 2, 2022). "Soldotna resident joins bid for US House seat" . Peninsula Clarion Archived from the original on April 2, 2022. Retrieved April 2, 2022 . ^ a b c Herz, Nathaniel (March 26, 2022). "An array of Alaska politicians ponder bids in the "absolute jungle" of elections to replace U.S. Rep. Don Young" . Anchorage Daily News Archived from the original on March 26, 2022. Retrieved March 26, 2022 . ^ "Robert Lyons" . Ballotpedia . Archived from the original on April 6, 2022. Retrieved April 6, 2022 .^ "Emil Notti, who ran against Don Young in 1973, jumps into the race" . www.adn.com/ . Archived from the original on April 1, 2022. Retrieved April 1, 2022 .^ Pellegrini, Silvio (April 6, 2022). "LinkedIn Profile" . LinkedIn . ^ a b Thiessen, Mark (June 26, 2022). "Alaska Supreme Court ruling keeps Sweeney off House ballot" . Associated Press . Archived from the original on September 1, 2022. Retrieved June 26, 2022 . ^ George, Kavitha (August 12, 2022). "Sweeney files as official write-in candidate in special US House race" . Alaska Public Media Archived from the original on August 20, 2022. Retrieved August 24, 2022 . ^ "Stephen Wright (Alaska)" . Ballotpedia . Archived from the original on April 6, 2022. Retrieved April 6, 2022 .^ Hickman, Matt (March 21, 2022). "Rumors swirl, but Al Gross remains the only newcomer who's a virtual lock to enter race to replace Don Young" . Anchorage Press Archived from the original on March 22, 2022. Retrieved March 26, 2022 . ^ "Alaska's U.S. House candidate field expands as Friday deadline nears" . Anchorage Daily News . Archived from the original on April 2, 2022. Retrieved April 2, 2022 .^ a b "Nick Begich III speaks to News of the North" . KINY Archived from the original on April 22, 2022. Retrieved May 8, 2022 .^ Alaska Republican Party endorses Nick Begich III for US House , Alaska Public Media ^ Sarah Palin's former in-laws are supporting her main Republican opponent Nick Begich in the upcoming Alaska special election , Business Insider ^ "Letter: Support Constant" . Anchorage Daily News . Archived from the original on May 15, 2022. Retrieved May 14, 2022 .^ a b "Nikki Haley returns the favor: endorses Sarah Palin for Congress" . The Post and Courier Archived from the original on April 3, 2022. Retrieved April 3, 2022 .^ a b Howie, Craig (April 3, 2022). "Trump endorses Palin in Alaska House special election" . Politico Archived from the original on April 4, 2022. Retrieved April 3, 2022 . ^ a b Koberg, Kelsey (May 9, 2022). "Elise Stefanik rolls out latest round of endorsements for 2022 midterm elections" . Fox News Archived from the original on May 9, 2022. Retrieved May 9, 2022 . ^ a b "National Right to Life Endorses Sarah Palin in Alaska Congressional Special Election" . National Right to Life Committee Archived from the original on June 5, 2022. Retrieved May 30, 2022 .^ "Don Young's wife endorses Revak in Alaska House race" . The Hill Archived from the original on April 14, 2022. Retrieved April 14, 2022 .^ "Revak, Sweeney get endorsements in bid for Alaska House seat" . The Seattle Times Associated Press . Archived from the original on April 14, 2022. Retrieved April 14, 2022 .^ "VIDEO: U.S. House hopefuls pitch to resource development groups at candidate forum" . Anchorage Daily News Archived from the original on May 14, 2022. Retrieved May 15, 2022 .^ "Alaska U.S. House candidate forum: May 12, 2022" . May 12, 2022. Retrieved October 30, 2024 – via YouTube.^ "Ivan Moore 🇺🇦 on Twitter: "OFFICIAL RELEASE: Begich in strong posit…" . archive.ph . May 10, 2022. Retrieved October 30, 2024 .^ Downing, Suzanne (April 10, 2022). "New Must Read Alaska poll: Sarah Palin, Nick Begich are top two Republicans on the ballot for Congress" . Retrieved October 30, 2024 . ^ "2022 SPECIAL PRIMARY ELECTION OFFICIAL RESULTS" (PDF) . Alaska Division of Elections . June 24, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on June 25, 2022. Retrieved June 25, 2022 .^ Wasserman, Dave (August 10, 2022). "Trump's Grip on GOP Remains Strong, but "Red Wave" Looking Smaller" . The Cook Political Report Archived from the original on August 10, 2022. Retrieved August 10, 2022 . ^ "House Ratings" . The Rothenberg Political Report. Archived from the original on August 26, 2022. Retrieved August 26, 2022 .^ Kondik, Kyle (June 22, 2022). "Notes on the State of Politics: June 22, 2022" . Archived from the original on June 22, 2022. Retrieved June 22, 2022 . ^ Gingrich, Newt (April 4, 2022). "Newt Gingrich Twitter" . Twitter Archived from the original on April 23, 2022. Retrieved April 23, 2022 . ^ "NRA-PVF | Grades | Alaska" . NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on August 3, 2022.^ "MARY PELTOLA FOR U.S. CONGRESS "As a Native woman, I understand that Alaskans are a diverse people who need leaders who can unite us. We also need a federal government that helps stabilize our economy. My top priority is to improve Alaskans quality of life." Mary Peltola" . July 31, 2022. Archived from the original on July 31, 2022. Retrieved August 2, 2022 .^ ago, Iris Samuels Updated: 1 day ago Published: 1 day. "Constant ends bid for Alaska's U.S. House seat, endorses Peltola" . Anchorage Daily News . Archived from the original on June 18, 2022. Retrieved June 18, 2022 . {{cite web }}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link )^ "Democrats drop from U.S. House race, most backing Peltola" . June 17, 2022. Archived from the original on June 21, 2022. Retrieved June 18, 2022 .^ Brooks, James (June 23, 2022). "Alaska AFL-CIO endorses Walker, Murkowski, Peltola" . Archived from the original on June 27, 2022. Retrieved June 27, 2022 . ^ "Ivan Moore 🇺🇦 on Twitter: "BREAKING CONGRESS SPECIAL ELECTION POLL …" . archive.ph . July 29, 2022. Retrieved October 30, 2024 .^ "Alaska Survey Research" (PDF) . Retrieved October 30, 2024 .^ "Ivan Moore 🇺🇦 on Twitter: "Nicholas Begich beats Mary Peltola 57-43…" . archive.ph . July 7, 2022. Retrieved October 30, 2024 .^ "Ivan Moore 🇺🇦 on Twitter: "Race 3 (Peltola): Round 1: Palin 26% Beg…" . archive.ph . May 10, 2022. Retrieved October 30, 2024 .^ "Ivan Moore 🇺🇦 on Twitter: "Race 4 (Claus): Round 1: Palin 25% Begic…" . archive.ph . May 10, 2022. Retrieved October 30, 2024 .^ "Ivan Moore 🇺🇦 on Twitter: "ADDENDUM: One of the good things about c…" . archive.ph . May 11, 2022. Retrieved October 30, 2024 .^ "Ivan Moore 🇺🇦 on Twitter: "Race 2 (Constant): Round 1: Palin 28% Be…" . archive.ph . May 10, 2022. Retrieved October 30, 2024 .^ "Ivan Moore 🇺🇦 on Twitter: "Here are the four sets of results, one w…" . archive.ph . May 10, 2022. Retrieved October 30, 2024 .^ a b c Change Research (D) Archived April 17, 2022, at the Wayback Machine ^ "State of Alaska | 2022 SPECIAL GENERAL ELECTION | RCV Tabulation | August 16, 2022 | OFFICIAL RESULTS" (PDF) . Alaska Division of Elections . September 2, 2022. Retrieved September 2, 2022 .^ Grabman, Jed (November 24, 2022), Alaska Ranked Choice Vote Summarizer , retrieved November 25, 2022 ^ Graham-Squire, Adam; McCune, David (September 11, 2022). "A Mathematical Analysis of the 2022 Alaska Special Election for US House". p. 2. arXiv :2209.04764v3 econ.GN ]. Since Begich wins both … he is the Condorcet winner of the election … AK election also contains a Condorcet loser: Sarah Palin. … she is also a spoiler candidate ^ Holliday, Wesley H.; Pacuit, Eric (October 1, 2023). "Split Cycle: a new Condorcet-consistent voting method independent of clones and immune to spoilers" . Public Choice . 197 (1): 1– 62. arXiv :2004.02350 doi :10.1007/s11127-023-01042-3 . ISSN 1573-7101 . and yet with Palin included, Instant Runoff elected the Democrat in the race, making Palin a spoiler ^ Holliday, Wesley H. (March 13, 2024). "A simple Condorcet voting method for Final Four elections" . Retrieved March 23, 2024 . Hence Begich was the Condorcet winner. … spoiler and Condorcet loser, Palin ^ Ogren, Marcus (October 3, 2022). "The "Correct" Winner is Squeezed Out in the Alaska Special Election" . League of Women Voters of Boulder County . Retrieved March 24, 2024 .
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Information related to 2022 Alaska's at-large congressional district special election
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